At 11:46 am, we are already seeing some scattered showers that have popped up over portions of the southern half of Central Alabama mainly along the US-80 corridor to just south of Montgomery. The rest of Central Alabama is dry at this point, but more showers and storms are expected to move into the area in just a little bit. Temperatures as of the 11:00 am official roundup were in the lower to mid-80s across the area. Selma and Tuscaloosa were the warm spots at 86 degrees. Bessemer was the cool spot at 80 degrees. Birmingham was sitting at 84 degrees.
At this time, we have a complex of showers and thunderstorms that are moving east-southeastward through the eastern parts of Arkansas and moving into the northwestern parts of Mississippi and western Tennessee. This complex will eventually move into the northwestern and western parts of the area this afternoon and proceed through the area throughout the rest of your Monday.
By the time those reach North/Central Alabama, we’ll be getting close to our peak heating for the day and there will be plenty of instability, or storm fuel, in place for some of the storms to grow strong to possibly severe. Damaging winds up to 60 mph will be the main threat.
The Storm Prediction Center has nearly all of the northern half of the state in a Marginal Risk for severe storms. The main window for the severe storm potential will be from roughly 1:00 pm to 9:00 pm from northwest to southeast. I do believe that the severe threat will be over by the time the storms reach locations along and south of a line from Linden to Clanton to Wedowee later tonight.
Highs are expected to top out in the upper 80s to the lower 90s across the area. The highest rain chances will be over the northern parts of the area north of a line from Livingston to Clanton to LaFayette. Showers and storms will continue into the night-time and overnight hours but they will be diminishing in coverage as we get later. Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid-70s.