SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 1035 MI…1670 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Saba and St. Eustatius
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches could be required for those areas on Thursday.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 47.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near or north of the northern Leeward Islands by late Friday and near or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by late Thursday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 MB (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches through Friday night over the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Friday.
Information taken from the 10:00 pm update from the National Hurricane Center.