Early Afternoon Check: Dry For Now, But Rain Becomes Likely Tonight

As of 1:50 pm, the radar is all quiet across Central Alabama and it should stay that way until we get into the evening hours tonight as some shower activity will begin to move in from the west. At this point, skies are partly to mostly cloudy as high clouds are filtering out the sun. Temperatures were in the mid-60s to the lower 70s across the area. Haleyville was the cool spot at 66 degrees while several locations were tied at 72 degrees as the warm spots. Birmingham was sitting at 70 degrees.

Clouds will continue to increase for the rest of the afternoon and a shower or two may be possible over the extreme western parts of the area, but those chances will be very low. Afternoon highs will be in the upper 60s to the mid-70s. For this evening and through the late-night and overnight hours, rain chances will increase across all of Central Alabama with rain likely along and west of the I-59 corridor. Chances do decrease as you move southeast with the lowest odds south of I-85. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50s.

Tuesday will be a gray day across Central Alabama with showers and a few thunderstorms likely across the northern two-thirds of the area, with rain chances, remain rather high for the southern third. While some thunder may occur, we do not have a threat of organized severe storms. Highs will once again be up in the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

While the Storm Prediction Center does not have and part of the area in a severe storm risk on its Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook for Wednesday, NWS Birmingham has nearly the entire Central Alabama county warning area in a risk for damaging winds up to 60 MPH and hail up to ping pong ball size. The confidence is very low as we may be lacking the lift to get any storms to form during Wednesday afternoon as a boundary looks to either sweep through the area, or curve and move eastward through the extreme portions of the area. If the lift does occur, we’ll have enough instability and shear to get storms to form and become strong to severe. Therefore, NWS Birmingham has a Slight Risk up for locations along and north of the I-20 and I-20/59 corridor and a Marginal Risk up for nearly all locations south of that. Afternoon highs will range from the lower 70s in the north to the upper 70s in the south.

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