Well, after getting a chance to catch my breath on Thursday after staying up throughout the overnight and early morning hours covering the weather, I am finally back on my personal site to bring the forecast for the next seven days. You might think Noah is putting the final touches on the ark as we’ll have to deal with a bunch of rain starting on Monday. Here are the details…
After a few flurries or very light showers move out of the area this morning, we will dry out for the rest of the day with skies becoming mostly sunny by the afternoon hours. Afternoon highs will top out in the 40s across the area. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy tonight and through the overnight hours with lows dropping into the lower 30s to the lower 40s across the area.
On Saturday, a small and quick-moving disturbance may bring a few light showers across the area, but the lower levels of the atmosphere will be dry, so most of that may evaporate before making it to the surface. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy and highs will be in the lower 50s to the lower 60s. The chance of rain will be less than 20%.
Much of the day on Sunday will be partly to mostly sunny across the area, but clouds look to move in late. Rain chances will start to rise after midnight as the next cold front approaches setting up a period of unsettled weather for the workweek. Highs will be in the 60s throughout the area.
On Monday, the cold front will move into Central Alabama. Ahead of the front, the flow of moist air from the Gulf of Mexico will be increasing which will set the stage for rain and a few thunderstorms, especially for the afternoon and evening hours. Rain could be heavy at times. Highs will be in the lower 60s to the lower 70s.
The front stalls out across Central Alabama on Tuesday which will keep rain and a few thunderstorms likely throughout the daylight hours. Rain chances will decrease a little during the evening hours potentially leading for some locations to have a few hours of no rain. Highs will be in the upper 50s to the lower 70s across the area from northwest to southeast.
The front will finally start moving on Wednesday, but we’ll have another day with rain and a few thunderstorms likely at times. It may take a while for the rain to move out, possibly into the morning hours on Thursday for the eastern parts of the area. Highs will be in the upper 50s to the mid-60s.
The GFS shows some lingering showers over the eastern half of the area to start the day on Thursday, but we’ll be drying out before we reach the midday hour. The European model shows another day of rain and thunderstorms likely with rain being heavy at times. Either way, there will be rain in the forecast, but I’m siding with the European for now. Highs will be in the upper 50s to the upper 60s.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH VALENTINE’S DAY
As you can see, we may have some flooding issues throughout the week as rainfall totals could possibly reach as high as 4-6 inches by 6:00 am Friday morning. Let’s hope that this model run is wrong and that we don’t have that much.
Taking a quick peek into Voodoo Land for the end of the workweek and the weekend, it looks like we will be dry for Valentine’s Day and the weekend. Temperatures look to be in the upper 50s for highs and lower to mid-40s for lows. Enjoy it while you can as another system looks to move in by Monday.
So, as you can see, we’ll need the umbrellas and rain boots starting on Monday, and keeping them handy through Thursday. If the European model is right for Thursday, you may need waders as well. Please remember… if you see water covering the roadways, please do not attempt to drive as you don’t know if there are hidden dangers that could put your life and others in danger. Turn around… don’t drown.