Latest Mesoscale Discussion & Severe Weather Outlook For The Area

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 698 continues.

SUMMARY: A few strong/severe storms will spread across the Tornado Watch locations over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION: The southern fringe of large-scale forcing for ascent is spreading across the mid-South and this appears influential in the maintenance of several bands of pre-frontal convection. While this convection has persisted for some time, the latest radar data does not exhibit appreciable storm-scale organization. Overall trends have actually decreased over the last hour or so but environmental shear remains supportive of supercells. Earlier CAMs guidance suggests a downward trend this evening, supported by current radar imagery. Despite these issues, there remains some low-end potential for an isolated tornado or localized damaging wind gust.

The latest Severe Weather Outlook update was just released and the SPC keeps a Slight Risk for severe storms up for the west and northwestern parts of the area and a Marginal Risk up for most of the rest of Central Alabama through tonight and the overnight hours.

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