NWS Birmingham completed a conference call with other meteorologists and emergency management officials across the area earlier this afternoon and here is the information that they shared with us…
• We will see minimal impacts from PTC-16 across Central Alabama.
• This will not be a typical tropical system that we usually see impacting the state from the Gulf of Mexico. It will be more of a hybrid with more of a colder-core low involved.
• Forward motion will be rather quick to the northeast and will keep rainfall amounts lower than what we usually see with a tropical system.
• The main window of impacts from PTC-16 will be from 12:00 am Saturday through 12:00 pm Saturday (from southwest to northeast).
• While it will be a little breezy across the area, the only gusty winds will be expected over the extreme southeastern parts of the area where gusts could reach as high as 25-30 MPH.
• Rainfall amounts will total around 1/2 inch or less for much of the northern half of Central Alabama, while much of the southern half receiving around 1/2 inch to 1 inch of rain. The extreme southern parts of Pike and Barbour counties could see amounts reaching 1.5 inches as they will be closer to the center as it passes by.
• PTC-16 is not expected to be a large system, but more compact with the heavier rain field located closest to the center.
I’ll have updates throughout the rest of the week and through the weekend on this developing weather situation, especially if there are any major changes in forecast track or strength of now PTC-16, soon to be Tropical or Subtropical Storm Nestor.