The 10:00 PM Update Shows We Now Have Tropical Storm Humberto

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was located near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 75.2 West (roughly 130 miles to the east-southeast of Great Abaco Island. Humberto is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by Sunday, with a slower northward motion forecast to occur by Monday. On the forecast track, the system is anticipated to move very near the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday, and offshore of the east coast of Florida this weekend and early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Humberto is expected to become a hurricane in two or three days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA Hurricane Hunters is 1008 MB (29.77 inches).


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island

The Tropical Storm Watch on the east coast of Florida has been discontinued.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the northwestern Bahamas by early Saturday.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce these total rainfall accumulations through Sunday:

The Bahamas…2 to 4 inches, isolated maximum amounts 6 inches.
The U.S. Atlantic Coast from central Florida into South Carolina…2 to 4 inches.

STORM SURGE: This system is not expected to produce significant storm surge in the northwestern Bahamas.

SURF: Swells generated by the depression are expected to increase and affect the coasts of Central Florida to South Carolina late this weekend and early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s