HOT WITH A FEW ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS & STORMS
A warm front will start to work northward across Central Alabama on Monday that will bring a slightly higher chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to the locations south of the front (roughly from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). North of that, conditions will continue to be hot with no rain expected. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 90s across the area.
A Code Orange Air Quality Alert is in effect for Jefferson and Shelby counties on Monday as ground-level ozone levels will be in the unhealthy range for sensitive groups. Children and people with asthma are individuals most at risk under these expected conditions.
Also, NWS Birmingham is continuing a Heat Advisory until 9:00 pm on Monday for Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Dallas, Elmore, Lowndes, Macon, Montgomery, Pike, and Russell counties. The combination of higher moisture and heat levels will lead to heat index values reaching and exceeding 105 degrees in the advisory locations.
RIDGE KEEPS US HOT & MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
We will be hot with plenty of sunshine and, at best, only a few isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms across Central Alabama from Tuesday through the end of the workweek. Afternoon highs will remain well above average, topping out mainly in the mid to upper 90s across the area.
THE CENTRAL ALABAMA WEEKEND
The ridging starts to flatten out for the weekend and a trough will begin to move across the Gulf of Mexico. Rain chances will increase on late Saturday and throughout Sunday as scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Highs will be in the lower 90s on Saturday and a little cooler in the upper 80s to the lower 90s for the most part on Sunday.
Tropical storm Gabrielle is turning to the northeast and is expected to be mainly a fish storm until around Thursday morning when she will be approaching Ireland. No threat to the US Mainland.
A disturbance is located well west of the Cabo Verde islands that is moving westward. It is not expected to develop quickly over the next two to three days, but conditions will become more hostile on the disturbance by Thursday and will stunt any further development through the end of the five-day forecast. After that, we’ll have to wait and see how conditions are and if it is able to survive after Thursday.
Another disturbance is located a few hundred miles to the north-northeast of the Leeward Islands. At this point, conditions are not favorable for development for the next few days. By mid-week, as it moves closer to the Bahamas, conditions may become a little more favorable for development. NHC is only giving it a 20% chance of becoming a depression over the next five days.