Even though the map from NWS Birmingham does not include Cullman County, the Slight Risk is up for you as well… Here is the latest Mesoscale Discussion from NWS Birmingham:
/UPDATED AT 0353 PM CDT WED AUG 07 2019/
WE WILL BE UPGRADING THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INTO THE SLIGHT RISK FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL AREAS. THIS WILL COVER OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND
BLOUNT COUNTIES. CONFIDENCE IS SLIGHTLY LESS FOR THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES BUT ARE MONITORING THE UPSTREAM TENDS CLOSELY.
UPSTREAM CONVECTION IS NOW STARTING TO ORGANIZE ITSELF A BIT BETTER. THE MAIN CHALLENGE IS HOW FAR SOUTH THE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL TRANSLATE. THERE IS A STRONG MEAN MOISTURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND CENTRAL ALABAMA AT THIS TIME, WITH 2+ INCHES NORTH TO 1.6-1.7 IN CENTRAL ALABAMA. IT APPEARS THAT VERTICAL MOTION AND THE COLD POOL WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD ENOUGH TO GET STORMS INTO NORTHERN AREAS. SBCAPES ARE IN THE 4000 RANGE WITH DCAPE IN THE 1300 NEIGHBORHOOD PER LATEST RUC ANALYSIS. THE SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE NOT MIXED OUT THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN THE 70S NORTH. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS THAT THE STORMS ORGANIZE IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE AND MIGRATE INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. MUCH OF THE LATEST MODEL DATA IS NOT HANDLING ALL THE PARAMETERS AND SUBSEQUENT QPF CORRECTLY. THE THREATS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60-65 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES UNDER THE STRONGEST CORES. WILL ALSO ADJUST POPS HIGHER IN THESE ZONES.
Central Alabama Weather 