I am doing the Weather Xtreme Videos this week for James Spann on the Alabama Weather Blog as he is taking a week off for vacation time. I’ll be posting my video to this site each day this week.
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE FOR TODAY
A stalled boundary will be the focal point for an increased risk of scattered mainly late morning to early evening showers and thunderstorms across much of Central Alabama today. The highest rain chances will be along and south of the I-59 corridor down to the I-85 corridor, while the rest of the area will have a smaller chance of isolated to scattered showers and storms. Afternoon highs will be in the lower to mid-90s. Rain chances will range from 20% to 60% during the day.
SCATTERED SHOWERS & STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
Not much change at this point for Friday through Sunday as we’ll continue with an active pattern across Central Alabama. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible on Friday with chances ranging from 30%-40% from northwest to southeast. Highs will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s. Rain chances will stay higher across Central Alabama on Saturday as the entire area will have a 40%-50% chance of mainly afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s. Much of the same for Sunday as the odds of scattered showers and thunderstorms will be greater during the afternoon hours. Those rain chances top out in the 40%-50% range across the area with highs reaching the upper 80s to the lower 90s.
THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK
It’s the “wash and repeat” forecast to start next week as we’ll continue with hot and humid conditions along with a risk of a few isolated to scattered mainly afternoon showers and storms on each day. Mornings will start with a good bit of sunshine with clouds building during the main heating of the day. Highs will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s for Monday and Tuesday and back up into the lower to mid-90s for Wednesday. Rain chances will be a little higher on Monday, in the 30%-50% range, but drops back to 20%-30% for Tuesday and Wednesday.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE TROPICS
The disturbance which used to be called Invest 95L is located over Cuba and the Bahamas will move northwest then northward bringing heavy rain and some gusty winds to the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and parts of the Florida Peninsula over the next few days. Conditions may become marginally conducive for development over the weekend as the system curves back out to the northeast and away from the US mainland, but the NHC is only giving it a 10% chance of developing into a depression within the next five days.
Invest 96L is currently located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible over the next couple of days as it moves to the west-northwest at 15 MPH. Conditions become more favorable for development over the weekend and a depression is likely to form well east of the Lesser Antilles. NHC has a 70% chance of tropical depression development within the next five days. Most of the models have this one curving back to the north and northeast well before reaching the US mainland.
Another tropical wave has moved off the African coast just behind Invest 96L and will need to be watched.