Getting A Little Active In The Tropics

We currently have Tropical Depression Three moving northward between the southeastern coast of Florida and the northwestern parts of the Bahamas. As of 5:00 am this morning, the center of TD3 was located around 40 miles east-northeast of West Palm Beach, Florida, and around 55 miles northwest of Freeport, Grand Bahama Island. Maximum sustained winds were at 35 MPH and the minimum central pressure was at 1012 MB (29.89 inches).

The general motion of TD3 is forecast to continue through this afternoon. A motion toward the north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression should remain offshore the coast of the southeastern United States through Wednesday. No significant increase in strength is anticipated, and the depression is forecast to dissipate on Wednesday.

A non-tropical low-pressure area could form over the northern Gulf of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday from the cold front that is moving through the southern parts of Central Alabama. Thereafter, conditions could become marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical development as it moves slowly northeastward through the end of the week. The National Hurricane Center is giving it very low odds that it forms into a depression within the next five days, around 20%.

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