While we are starting off this Saturday morning with not much going on across Central Alabama, we do have a few showers that have pushed up into the extreme southern parts of the area as of 7:30 am. I’m positive that the radar will look much different as we get into the late morning and through the afternoon and early evening hours.
Looking at the 06z GFS model run valid today at 1:00 pm, we see that Barry will be moving onshore, possibly as a minimal hurricane or strong tropical storm. For Central Alabama, that means we’ll have numerous to widespread tropical showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, with most of the activity coming during the late morning through the afternoon and early evening hours and especially over the west and southwestern parts of the area. Highs will be in the mid-80s to the lower 90s.
Rain will dissipate for much of the area as we get into the late night and overnight hours, but scattered to numerous showers and storms will remain possible over the southwestern parts of the area due to Barry, even though this model is not showing that possibility. Lows will be in the lower to mid-70s.
The good news is that NWS Birmingham has backed off of the threat of any brief spin-up tornadoes as the forecast track of Barry has shifted a little farther to the west. We’ll have to watch to see if there is any wobble to the forecast as any movement to the east could make a larger impact to Central Alabama.
Widespread flooding issues do not look to be a problem across Central Alabama as expected rainfall from now until Tuesday morning looks to be in the 1/2-inch to 2-inch range from east to west across the area. We still could see some localized ponding or flash flooding in urban locations and also poor drainage areas.
I’ll have a forecast update out at or around the midday hour. Thank you so much for visiting my blog.